San Lorenzo 2-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.9
2-3 Goals
35%
1.88
4-5 Goals
15%
7.24
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.83
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.05
X/1
10%
3.96
X/2
12%
7.93
X/X
16%
3.2
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
9%
7.43
2/X
11%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-10.3pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Lorenzo EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.28/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.23
-12% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 70%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
25.7 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Lorenzo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Banfield
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
280 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.05.2023 Banfield Banfield 1-2 HT 1-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
17.07.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-1 HT 1-1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
12.02.2022 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
02.08.2021 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 1-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
15.03.2021 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
11.01.2021 Banfield Banfield 4-1 HT 1-0 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Lorenzo
2-1
AWAY Banfield
1.87 xG 1.50
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
341 Passes 167
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH San Lorenzo vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Lorenzo nicked a narrow win over Banfield 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 28% — and on the day San Lorenzo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Lorenzo had 62% of the ball to Banfield's 38%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.87 to 1.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Lorenzo and 1.17 for Banfield.

What was the final score of San Lorenzo vs Banfield?

San Lorenzo 2-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Lorenzo vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Lorenzo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Lorenzo 37%, draw 35%, Banfield 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Lorenzo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Lorenzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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