Estudiantes 1-0 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Estudiantes
1-0 HT 1-0
Defensa y Justicia
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024/2025

Estudiantes vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-8.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -8%
1.51/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.53
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +16%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
24.3 Crosses 15.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9

Estudiantes vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 0.87
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 250
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
14.12.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJK
06.11.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 2-1 HT 1-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
14.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
20.09.2022 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-2 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
16.10.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ

Estudiantes 1-0 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes
1-0
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
2.84 xG 1.73
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
252 Passes 316
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estudiantes vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes squeezed past Defensa y Justicia 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes had 45% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 55%, shots finished 18-21, expected goals 2.84 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estudiantes and 1.17 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Estudiantes vs Defensa y Justicia?

Estudiantes 1-0 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes 46%, draw 30%, Defensa y Justicia 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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