Independiente Petrolero 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.0pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
1.04/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.06
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
279 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 77%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
18.3 Crosses 13.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.78
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
158 Passes 369
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
18.05.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
0-1
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.59 xG 1.54
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
240 Passes 180
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
31 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ squeezed past Independiente Petrolero 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Petrolero at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 55% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 45%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 1.59 to 1.54.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Independiente Petrolero 0-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 44%, draw 24%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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