Velez Mostar 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Velez Mostar
0-1 HT 0-1
Zrinjski Mostar
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League – 2024/2025

Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.2pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Velez Mostar v Zrinjski Mostar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 50%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +13%
1.67/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.71
+50% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Zrinjski Mostar
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
13.11.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 HT 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
18.10.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 HT 3-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
17.05.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
08.03.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-3 HT 1-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
12.10.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar nicked a narrow win over Velez Mostar 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.50 for Zrinjski Mostar.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Velez Mostar 0-1 Zrinjski Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Zrinjski Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 25%, draw 28%, Zrinjski Mostar 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
28 Sep 2024
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