Vendsyssel FF 0-1 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
48%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 25% vs market 18.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
5.39
1/2
8%
21.85
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
11%
7.83
X/2
18%
4.47
X/X
9%
5.52
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.48
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vendsyssel FF EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 54%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -9%
1.18/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.35
-9% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
21.8 Crosses 23.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vendsyssel FF
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hvidovre
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.97 xG 1.27
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
293 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2023 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 2-3 HT 2-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
22.04.2023 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
18.03.2023 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-1 HT 3-1 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
28.08.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 1-1 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
18.03.2022 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
19.09.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 3-2 HT 3-0 Vendsyssel FF Vendsyssel FF DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vendsyssel FF
0-1
AWAY Hvidovre
0.68 xG 1.79
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
287 Passes 352
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 15
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hvidovre squeezed past Vendsyssel FF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hvidovre as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vendsyssel FF had 46% of the ball to Hvidovre's 54%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.68 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hvidovre led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 1.83 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre?

Vendsyssel FF 0-1 Hvidovre in the Denmark 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vendsyssel FF vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hvidovre win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vendsyssel FF 27%, draw 25%, Hvidovre 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hvidovre), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hvidovre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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