Holbaek 3-0 Lyseng — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
58%
-9.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holbaek EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyseng EU Bookmakers 23%
-69% / -69% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.24
-45% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
408 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holbaek
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lyseng
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-0 HT 1-0 Lyseng Lyseng DAN3
08.10.2023 Lyseng Lyseng 0-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
POST-MATCH Holbaek vs Lyseng
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek cruised past Lyseng 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Holbaek had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Holbaek and 0.00 for Lyseng.

What was the final score of Holbaek vs Lyseng?

Holbaek 3-0 Lyseng in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holbaek vs Lyseng?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Holbaek 48%, draw 26%, Lyseng 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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