Madura United 2-2 Persib Bandung — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.82
Over 2.5
39%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
16%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.3pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
51%
+9.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
49%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madura United EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Persib Bandung EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.03/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.67
-14% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +66%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madura United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Persib Bandung
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
384 Passes 396
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
31.05.2024 Madura United Madura United 1-3 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
26.05.2024 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 3-0 HT 0-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
01.11.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
20.01.2023 Madura United Madura United 0-1 HT 0-0 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung ENDL1
30.07.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 1-3 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
13.03.2022 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung 3-2 HT 2-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Madura United vs Persib Bandung
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madura United and Persib Bandung shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 36% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Persib Bandung led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Madura United and 2.00 for Persib Bandung.

What was the final score of Madura United vs Persib Bandung?

Madura United 2-2 Persib Bandung in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madura United vs Persib Bandung?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Madura United 29%, draw 36%, Persib Bandung 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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