Dire Dawa Kenema 4-1 Welayta Dicha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.67
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.41
Over
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.27
No
61%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
41%
2-3
37%
4-5
17%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
34%
-4.8pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-2.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+2.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.3pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 37%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.66/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.51
-47% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Welayta Dicha
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2024 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha 1-1 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
4-1
AWAY Welayta Dicha
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dire Dawa Kenema cruised past Welayta Dicha 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 38% — and on the day Dire Dawa Kenema made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 58% of the ball to Welayta Dicha's 42%, shots finished 6-8.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Dire Dawa Kenema 4-1 Welayta Dicha in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Welayta Dicha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Welayta Dicha win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 29%, draw 33%, Welayta Dicha 38%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Welayta Dicha) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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