Mekelakeya 1-2 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.48
Over
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 31%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.49/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.21
+39% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
1-2
AWAY Sidama Bunna
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna squeezed past Mekelakeya 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Sidama Bunna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 58% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 42%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna?

Mekelakeya 1-2 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 40%, draw 31%, Sidama Bunna 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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