Red Star FC 93 1-3 Paris FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.5
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
9%
7.19
X/2
11%
4.44
X/X
17%
4.4
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.79
2/X
8%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-4.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Star FC 93 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.11/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.23
-9% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
12.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
17.8 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Red Star FC 93
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Paris FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 0.73
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 423
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.05.2019 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 0-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
21.12.2018 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
09.08.2016 Paris FC Paris FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FRLK
04.04.2016 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-4 HT 1-2 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
07.11.2015 Paris FC Paris FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 FR2
14.02.2015 Red Star FC 93 Red Star FC 93 2-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Star FC 93
1-3
AWAY Paris FC
1.00 xG 1.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
368 Passes 399
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Red Star FC 93 vs Paris FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC saw off Red Star FC 93 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Red Star FC 93 had 49% of the ball to Paris FC's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.00 to 1.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Red Star FC 93 and 1.33 for Paris FC.

What was the final score of Red Star FC 93 vs Paris FC?

Red Star FC 93 1-3 Paris FC in the France - Ligue 2 on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Star FC 93 vs Paris FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Red Star FC 93 27%, draw 32%, Paris FC 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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