Dijon (K) 2-2 Fleury 91 (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
13%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleury 91 (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-14% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
1.20 xG 2.97
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 11
211 Passes 418
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.01.2024 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRKK
10.01.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 0-5 HT 0-0 Fleury 91 (K) Fleury 91 (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
2-2
AWAY Fleury 91 (K)
2.58 xG 0.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
29 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
327 Passes 337
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dijon (K) and Fleury 91 (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 20% / 42%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 49% of the ball to Fleury 91 (K)'s 51%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 2.58 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fleury 91 (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dijon (K) and 4.50 for Fleury 91 (K).

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Dijon (K) 2-2 Fleury 91 (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Fleury 91 (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fleury 91 (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 38%, draw 20%, Fleury 91 (K) 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fleury 91 (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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