FC Nantes (K) 0-1 Saint-Étienne (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 28 Sep 2024

FC Nantes (K)
0-1 HT 0-1
Saint-Étienne (K)
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2024/2025

FC Nantes (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.2pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Nantes (K) v Saint-Étienne (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +52% / +52%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -38%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
– Crosses 12.3
– Yellow Cards 1.5

FC Nantes (K) 0-1 Saint-Étienne (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nantes (K)
0-1
AWAY Saint-Étienne (K)
0.68 xG 0.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
250 Passes 167
76% Pass Accuracy 61%
16 Box Touches 7
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Nantes (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) nicked a narrow win over FC Nantes (K) 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Saint-Étienne (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Nantes (K) had 58% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 42%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.68 to 0.51.

What was the final score of FC Nantes (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

FC Nantes (K) 0-1 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nantes (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nantes (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Nantes (K) 39%, draw 30%, Saint-Étienne (K) 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Nantes (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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