Gyeongnam FC 1-1 Suwon Bluewings — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 29% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.07/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.92
-12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses 21.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 Passes 413
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
15.06.2024 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
28.04.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-1 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
19.10.2019 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOK
25.08.2018 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR
30.08.2014 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-1
AWAY Suwon Bluewings
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 1
392 Passes 391
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC and Suwon Bluewings couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon Bluewings at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 50% of the ball to Suwon Bluewings's 50%, shots finished 5-22.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.00 for Suwon Bluewings.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings?

Gyeongnam FC 1-1 Suwon Bluewings in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Suwon Bluewings?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 29%, draw 27%, Suwon Bluewings 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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