Odisha FC 2-1 Jamshedpur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+1.7pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.12/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
+33% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
13.2 Crosses 17.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.16 xG 1.59
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
330 Passes 211
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
29.12.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 4-1 HT 4-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
01.12.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 0-1 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
22.02.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
11.10.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-3 HT 2-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
04.03.2022 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 5-1 HT 2-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
14.12.2021 Odisha FC Odisha FC 0-4 HT 0-4 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
2-1
AWAY Jamshedpur
1.67 xG 0.80
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 2
366 Passes 129
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
31 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Jamshedpur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC squeezed past Jamshedpur 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Odisha FC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Odisha FC had 68% of the ball to Jamshedpur's 32%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.67 to 0.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Odisha FC and 2.33 for Jamshedpur.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Jamshedpur?

Odisha FC 2-1 Jamshedpur in the India - Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Jamshedpur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 46%, draw 23%, Jamshedpur 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odisha FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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