Telstar 0-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.77
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.6
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.49
X/2
11%
7.55
X/X
11%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.15
2/2
11%
5.37
2/X
7%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.47/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.47
-9% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.7 Crosses 18.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.42 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
326 Passes 302
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2024 Telstar Telstar 0-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
17.11.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-4 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
28.04.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2
11.12.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.04.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
01.10.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-1 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
0-0
AWAY Den Bosch
1.52 xG 0.97
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 6
288 Passes 244
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and Den Bosch played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Telstar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Telstar had 54% of the ball to Den Bosch's 46%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.52 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Telstar and 0.50 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Den Bosch?

Telstar 0-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Telstar 47%, draw 24%, Den Bosch 28%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✗ Over 2.5
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