Tottenham U21 0-3 Leeds United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.68
Over 2.5
60%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.8pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+16.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-16.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.4pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tottenham U21 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 19%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/4.00
-100% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
413 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 15.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tottenham U21
0-3
AWAY Leeds United U21
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
452 Passes 270
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tottenham U21 vs Leeds United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United U21 swept aside Tottenham U21 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tottenham U21 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Tottenham U21 had 61% of the ball to Leeds United U21's 39%, shots finished 9-9.

What was the final score of Tottenham U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Tottenham U21 0-3 Leeds United U21 in the INGPL2 on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tottenham U21 vs Leeds United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tottenham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Tottenham U21 56%, draw 21%, Leeds United U21 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Tottenham U21), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tottenham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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