Tobol 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Kazakhstan - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Tobol Elo 1424 · World #2184 (clubs) WDDLW→
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Shakhter Karagandy Elo 1253 LLDLL→
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Kazakhstan - Premier League – 2024

Tobol vs Shakhter Karagandy Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 23:39
Match Result
HomeVIEW
76%
1.3
Draw
15%
4.83
Away
9%
7.88
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.05
Over
57%
1.7
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
45%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1/2
1%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Tobol v Shakhter Karagandy — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tobol The Market 77%
Signal
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy The Market 13%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.33 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.76
0.68 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.29
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Tobol vs Shakhter Karagandy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
30.09.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 2-1 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
07.06.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-0 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
17.05.2023 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZKK
14.03.2023 Tobol Tobol 2-1 HT 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
02.10.2022 Tobol Tobol 3-1 HT 1-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
REVIEW Tobol vs Shakhter Karagandy
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tobol came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Shakhter Karagandy 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Tobol against 1.00 for Shakhter Karagandy.

Tobol vs Shakhter Karagandy Result & Final Score

Tobol 1 - 0 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakhstan - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tobol vs Shakhter Karagandy Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Tobol 76%, draw 15%, Shakhter Karagandy 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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