Gor Mahia 4-0 Mathare United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.4pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gor Mahia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mathare United EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+129% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
256 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gor Mahia
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mathare United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.01.2022 Gor Mahia Gor Mahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Mathare United Mathare United KEN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gor Mahia
4-0
AWAY Mathare United
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gor Mahia vs Mathare United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gor Mahia swept aside Mathare United 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gor Mahia as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Gor Mahia had 59% of the ball to Mathare United's 41%, shots finished 14-1.

What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Mathare United?

Gor Mahia 4-0 Mathare United in the Kenya - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Mathare United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gor Mahia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 44%, draw 33%, Mathare United 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gor Mahia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gor Mahia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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