Sofapaka 0-1 Bandari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

Sofapaka
0-1 HT 0-1
Bandari
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2024/2025

Sofapaka vs Bandari Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
37%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
20%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.4pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sofapaka v Bandari — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sofapaka EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandari EU Bookmakers 31%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.23/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/0.00
-65% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Sofapaka vs Bandari Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sofapaka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bandari
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
04.01.2022 Sofapaka Sofapaka 0-1 HT 0-0 Bandari Bandari KEN

Sofapaka 0-1 Bandari — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sofapaka
0-1
AWAY Bandari
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sofapaka vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandari squeezed past Sofapaka 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Bandari found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sofapaka had 44% of the ball to Bandari's 56%, shots finished 7-6.

What was the final score of Sofapaka vs Bandari?

Sofapaka 0-1 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sofapaka vs Bandari?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandari win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sofapaka 35%, draw 28%, Bandari 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bandari), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bandari) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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