Al Fahaheel 4-0 Kazma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒20:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.13
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
47%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.6
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 1.85 — our 47% vs market 47.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
35%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fahaheel EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazma EU Bookmakers 43%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.08/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.21
+43% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fahaheel
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kazma
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
03.03.2024 Kazma Kazma 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
25.11.2023 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 3-4 HT 1-2 Kazma Kazma KUV
28.04.2023 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 1-2 HT 0-0 Kazma Kazma KUV
01.04.2023 Kazma Kazma 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUV
12.12.2022 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel 0-1 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
26.09.2022 Kazma Kazma 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Fahaheel Al Fahaheel KUVFK
POST-MATCH Al Fahaheel vs Kazma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fahaheel swept aside Kazma 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Fahaheel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kazma led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Fahaheel and 2.17 for Kazma.

What was the final score of Al Fahaheel vs Kazma?

Al Fahaheel 4-0 Kazma in the Kuwait - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fahaheel vs Kazma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kazma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Fahaheel 30%, draw 30%, Kazma 40%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kazma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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