Al Qadsia 3-1 Al Tadhamon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qadsia EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Tadhamon EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.89/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/2.20
-10% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qadsia
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Tadhamon
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.03.2023 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon 0-5 HT 0-3 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
03.11.2022 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon KUV
08.03.2022 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon 1-3 HT 1-2 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia KUV
10.12.2021 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon KUV
11.09.2021 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Tadhamon Al Tadhamon KUVEK
POST-MATCH Al Qadsia vs Al Tadhamon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Qadsia beat Al Tadhamon 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Qadsia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Qadsia had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Al Qadsia and 0.80 for Al Tadhamon.

What was the final score of Al Qadsia vs Al Tadhamon?

Al Qadsia 3-1 Al Tadhamon in the Kuwait - Premier League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qadsia vs Al Tadhamon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Qadsia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al Qadsia 56%, draw 23%, Al Tadhamon 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Qadsia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Qadsia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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