Znicz Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Znicz Pruszkow v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals
Znicz Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
3-4
HT 2-3
Znicz Pruszkow
POL2
0-1
HT 0-1
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Znicz Pruszkow
POL2
2-2
HT 2-0
Znicz Pruszkow
POL2
1-2
HT 1-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL2
Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics
Znicz Pruszkow squeezed past Pogon Siedlce 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Znicz Pruszkow found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 50% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 50%, shots finished 20-23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 1.50 for Pogon Siedlce.
What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce?
Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Znicz Pruszkow win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 36%, draw 27%, Pogon Siedlce 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.