28/09/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Çankaya SK vs Efeler 09 Spor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
45%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
29%
Draw
27%
32%
Away Win
36%
60%
Under 2.5
53%
40%
Over 2.5
47%
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
49%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Çankaya SK v Efeler 09 Spor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Çankaya SK
EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY
Efeler 09 Spor
EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+16% /
+16%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.14/1.05
-19%
/
-2%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+104%
/
+15%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
322 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
331 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
5.0
POST-MATCH
Çankaya SK vs Efeler 09 Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Çankaya SK nicked a narrow win over Efeler 09 Spor 2-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Çankaya SK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Çankaya SK vs Efeler 09 Spor?
Çankaya SK 2-1 Efeler 09 Spor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Çankaya SK vs Efeler 09 Spor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Çankaya SK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Çankaya SK 39%, draw 29%, Efeler 09 Spor 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çankaya SK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Çankaya SK)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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S3-3
More Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup
28 Sep 2024