Alanya 1221 FSK 1-3 K.Çekmece Sinopspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.95
Over
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2-3
35%
4-5
19%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.2pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanya 1221 FSK EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY K.Çekmece Sinopspor EU Bookmakers 38%
-61% / -61% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Alanya 1221 FSK vs K.Çekmece Sinopspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

K.Çekmece Sinopspor beat Alanya 1221 FSK 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; K.Çekmece Sinopspor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Alanya 1221 FSK vs K.Çekmece Sinopspor?

Alanya 1221 FSK 1-3 K.Çekmece Sinopspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 3.Grup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanya 1221 FSK vs K.Çekmece Sinopspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alanya 1221 FSK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alanya 1221 FSK 37%, draw 26%, K.Çekmece Sinopspor 37%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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