Cagliari U20 1-1 Genoa U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
38%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari U20 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.15/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.85
-25% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
265 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari U20
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Genoa U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 0-0 HT 0-0 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 İTAPŞ1
26.10.2024 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 1-2 HT 1-0 Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Cagliari U20 vs Genoa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cagliari U20 and Genoa U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Genoa U20 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cagliari U20 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cagliari U20 and 0.50 for Genoa U20.

What was the final score of Cagliari U20 vs Genoa U20?

Cagliari U20 1-1 Genoa U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari U20 vs Genoa U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Genoa U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cagliari U20 29%, draw 30%, Genoa U20 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genoa U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Genoa U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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