Deportivo (K) 1-2 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
33%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+4.6pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.1pp
33%
Away Win
45%
-11.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.95/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.18
-44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -49%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
14.6 Crosses 23.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.05 xG 1.13
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
305 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 32
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Deportivo (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo (K)
1-2
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.10 xG 2.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 3
227 Passes 252
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madrid CFF (K) edged past Deportivo (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Madrid CFF (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo (K) had 49% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 51%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 1.10 to 2.26.

What was the final score of Deportivo (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Deportivo (K) 1-2 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Deportivo (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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