Granada (K) 0-4 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+11.8pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.2pp
33%
Away Win
54%
-21.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.10/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.12
+8% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.0 Crosses 15.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada (K)
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.63 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
258 Passes 376
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2025 Granada (K) Granada (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
11.09.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Granada (K) Granada (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
17.03.2024 Granada (K) Granada (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada (K)
0-4
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.69 xG 1.44
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 3
239 Passes 455
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 41
9 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) swept aside Granada (K) 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Granada (K) had 36% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 64%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.69 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Granada (K) and 1.00 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Granada (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Granada (K) 0-4 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Granada (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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