Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 1-0 Köln U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
3.17
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
40%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
28%
+12.2pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
40%
Away Win
49%
-9.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln U19 EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
0.68/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.41/1.00
-68% / +112% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +113% / +74%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Köln U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
03.08.2025 Köln U19 Köln U19 2-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 ALU19
28.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 0-2 HT 0-1 Köln U19 Köln U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Köln U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 nicked a narrow win over Köln U19 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 20% / 40%) promised a tight game; Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Köln U19 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 and 2.00 for Köln U19.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Köln U19?

Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 1-0 Köln U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs Köln U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 40%, draw 20%, Köln U19 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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