Talleres Cordoba 1-0 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.19
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.3
X/1
19%
3.74
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
12%
3.98
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
6%
9.93
2/X
7%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +13%
1.42/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.37
-20% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 68%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
20.6 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talleres Cordoba
5W-1D-0L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.41 xG 0.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
337 Passes 197
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
22.11.2024 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
07.07.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
05.06.2022 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
08.05.2022 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
05.12.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-2 HT 1-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talleres Cordoba
1-0
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.52 xG 0.54
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
352 Passes 160
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 11
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Talleres Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talleres Cordoba edged past CA Sarmiento 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Talleres Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Talleres Cordoba had 64% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 36%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.52 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Talleres Cordoba had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 0.17 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Talleres Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento?

Talleres Cordoba 1-0 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talleres Cordoba vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talleres Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Talleres Cordoba 57%, draw 25%, CA Sarmiento 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talleres Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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