Lierse Kempenzonen 0-0 Olympic Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
19%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.26 — our 26% vs market 17.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
56%
+4.4pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.3pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Olympic Charleroi EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.72/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.19/2.71
+25% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.2 Crosses 7.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
0-0
AWAY Olympic Charleroi
1.31 xG 0.06
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 4
385 Passes 205
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 4
33 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Olympic Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen and Olympic Charleroi fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Lierse Kempenzonen at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 62% of the ball to Olympic Charleroi's 38%, shots finished 16-2, expected goals 1.31 to 0.06.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Olympic Charleroi?

Lierse Kempenzonen 0-0 Olympic Charleroi in the Belgium - 1st Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Olympic Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lierse Kempenzonen win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 61%, draw 20%, Olympic Charleroi 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lierse Kempenzonen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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