Police 0-2 Mogadishu City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 28 Sep 2025

Police
0-2 HT 0-1
Mogadishu City
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Police vs Mogadishu City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
14%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.5pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.9pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.7pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Police v Mogadishu City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Police EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mogadishu City EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Police 0-2 Mogadishu City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Police
0-2
AWAY Mogadishu City
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Police vs Mogadishu City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mogadishu City beat Police 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Police carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Police had 63% of the ball to Mogadishu City's 37%, shots finished 12-10.

What was the final score of Police vs Mogadishu City?

Police 0-2 Mogadishu City in the CAF Champions League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Police vs Mogadishu City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Police 67%, draw 19%, Mogadishu City 14%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Police), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CAFŞL More CAF Champions League
28 Sep 2025
00:00 JS Kabylie vs Bibiani Gold Stars Analysis →
16:00 Simba vs Gaborone United Analysis →
16:00 Nsingizini Hotspurs vs Simba Bhora Analysis →
18:00 Rivers United vs Les Aigles Du Congo Analysis →
20:00 Jaraaf vs Colombe Analysis →
22:00 Nouadhibou vs Fundación Bata Analysis →