Simba 1-1 Gaborone United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 28 Sep 2025

Simba
1-1 HT 1-0
Gaborone United
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Simba vs Gaborone United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Simba v Gaborone United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Simba EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaborone United EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Simba vs Gaborone United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Simba and Gaborone United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Simba carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Simba vs Gaborone United?

Simba 1-1 Gaborone United in the CAF Champions League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Simba vs Gaborone United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Simba win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Simba 56%, draw 24%, Gaborone United 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Simba), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Simba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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