Viborg 2-1 FC Fredericia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 28 Sep 2025

Viborg
2-1 HT 1-1
FC Fredericia
📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

Viborg vs FC Fredericia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.38
Over 2.5
69%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.56
No
34%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.98
2-3 Goals
35%
1.98
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
6+ Goals
16%
7.37
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 30.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.45
X/2
10%
9.76
X/X
10%
6.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
19.75
2/2
8%
6.94
2/X
5%
15.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.75 — our 7% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+1.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.5pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
31%
Under 2.5
38%
-6.9pp
69%
Over 2.5
62%
+6.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
60%
+6.1pp
34%
BTTS No
40%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viborg v FC Fredericia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.73/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/2.33
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +80% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.0 Crosses 9.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Viborg vs FC Fredericia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Fredericia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
02.09.2021 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-1 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAK
21.05.2021 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 0-3 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN1
12.02.2021 Viborg Viborg 4-0 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
06.11.2020 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-1 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN1
19.06.2020 Viborg Viborg 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN1
07.03.2020 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-3 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN1

Viborg 2-1 FC Fredericia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
2-1
AWAY FC Fredericia
1.81 xG 0.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
412 Passes 318
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 16
POST-MATCH Viborg vs FC Fredericia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg squeezed past FC Fredericia 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viborg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Viborg had 55% of the ball to FC Fredericia's 45%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 1.81 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Viborg's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Viborg and 0.83 for FC Fredericia.

What was the final score of Viborg vs FC Fredericia?

Viborg 2-1 FC Fredericia in the Denmark - Süperlig on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs FC Fredericia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Viborg 58%, draw 19%, FC Fredericia 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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