Şili U20 2-1 Yeni Zelanda U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.04
2-3 Goals
45%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
67%
-9.1pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+9.4pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şili U20 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Zelanda U20 EU Bookmakers 16%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/3.08
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
469 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.5
Crosses 12.1
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şili U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Yeni Zelanda U20
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
07.06.2025 Şili U20 Şili U20 2-1 Yeni Zelanda U20 Yeni Zelanda U20 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şili U20
2-1
AWAY Yeni Zelanda U20
0.85 xG 1.55
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
281 Passes 215
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şili U20 vs Yeni Zelanda U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şili U20 nicked a narrow win over Yeni Zelanda U20 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Şili U20 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Şili U20 had 55% of the ball to Yeni Zelanda U20's 45%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.85 to 1.55 — the balance of chances actually favoured Yeni Zelanda U20.

What was the final score of Şili U20 vs Yeni Zelanda U20?

Şili U20 2-1 Yeni Zelanda U20 in the World Cup U20 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şili U20 vs Yeni Zelanda U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Şili U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Şili U20 57%, draw 20%, Yeni Zelanda U20 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Şili U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Şili U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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