Paraguay U20 3-2 Panama U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup U20, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.96
Draw
16%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.78
Over 2.5
58%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
29%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 21.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
47%
+9.8pp
16%
Draw
27%
-11.0pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
52%
-10.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
48%
+10.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay U20 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Panama U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
Crosses 15.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay U20
3-2
AWAY Panama U20
1.90 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
222 Passes 268
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paraguay U20 vs Panama U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay U20 edged past Panama U20 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Paraguay U20 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Paraguay U20 had 47% of the ball to Panama U20's 53%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.90 to 1.25.

What was the final score of Paraguay U20 vs Panama U20?

Paraguay U20 3-2 Panama U20 in the World Cup U20 on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay U20 vs Panama U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paraguay U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paraguay U20 57%, draw 16%, Panama U20 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paraguay U20), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paraguay U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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