Mixco 1-0 Coban Imperial — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.3pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.2pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.9pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.39/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.52
-25% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
473 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Coban Imperial
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2025 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 0-1 HT 0-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
30.03.2025 Mixco Mixco 1-3 HT 1-2 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
27.01.2025 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-0 HT 2-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
24.10.2024 Mixco Mixco 1-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
14.04.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
06.11.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-2 HT 0-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Coban Imperial
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco nicked a narrow win over Coban Imperial 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mixco as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mixco and 1.17 for Coban Imperial.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Coban Imperial?

Mixco 1-0 Coban Imperial in the Guatemala - National League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Coban Imperial?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mixco 59%, draw 20%, Coban Imperial 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mixco) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mixco)
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