Municipal 3-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.27
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.75
No
55%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
75%
-3.4pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.1pp
10%
Away Win
7%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
32%
+13.0pp
55%
BTTS No
68%
-13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
2.19/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.93
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
420 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
10.03.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
22.01.2025 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.11.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
21.08.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 3-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
3-0
AWAY Achuapa
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal cruised past Achuapa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Municipal had 56% of the ball to Achuapa's 44%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Municipal and 1.17 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Achuapa?

Municipal 3-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Municipal 72%, draw 18%, Achuapa 10%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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28 Sep 2025
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