Achuapa 2-2 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.8pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.8pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.17/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.77
+3% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
230 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Municipal
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2025 Achuapa Achuapa 2-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
22.01.2025 Municipal Municipal 2-1 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.11.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
21.08.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 3-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
29.01.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
2-2
AWAY Municipal
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa and Municipal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Achuapa had 38% of the ball to Municipal's 62%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Achuapa and 1.83 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Municipal?

Achuapa 2-2 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 31%, draw 33%, Municipal 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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GUAT More Guatemala - National League
21 Jul 2025
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