Municipal 2-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 22 Jan 2025

📅22/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
14%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
14%
Away Win
13%
+1.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.99/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.94
+11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
403 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
21.08.2024 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 3-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
25.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
29.01.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 2-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
28.09.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
07.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal nicked a narrow win over Achuapa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal and 1.33 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Achuapa?

Municipal 2-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Municipal 60%, draw 26%, Achuapa 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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