Achuapa vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Achuapa v Municipal — Team-Based Signals
Achuapa vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-1
Achuapa
GUAT
Achuapa 2-1 Municipal — Actual Match Statistics
Achuapa squeezed past Municipal 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Municipal at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Achuapa had 58% of the ball to Municipal's 42%, shots finished 8-15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Achuapa and 2.00 for Municipal.
What was the final score of Achuapa vs Municipal?
Achuapa 2-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Municipal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 28%, draw 29%, Municipal 42%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.