Marquense 1-1 Mixco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 10 Mar 2025

📅10/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
35%
Draw
31%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mixco EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.52/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.84
+19% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Mixco
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 5
23.01.2025 Mixco Mixco 2-3 HT 2-2 Marquense Marquense GUAT
27.10.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
10.08.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Mixco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense and Mixco couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 35% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Marquense had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Marquense and 0.67 for Mixco.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Mixco?

Marquense 1-1 Mixco in the Guatemala - National League on 10/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Mixco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marquense 38%, draw 35%, Mixco 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marquense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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