Mixco 2-3 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.6pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.48/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/2.24
-10% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Marquense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 5
27.10.2024 Mixco Mixco 0-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
10.08.2024 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marquense nicked a narrow win over Mixco 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Mixco at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marquense led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mixco and 1.00 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Marquense?

Mixco 2-3 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Mixco 54%, draw 25%, Marquense 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mixco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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23 Jan 2025
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