Xinabajul 1-2 Coban Imperial — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Coban Imperial EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.39/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.22
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Coban Imperial
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10 Corners 3
05.12.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-0 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
05.08.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-3 HT 0-0 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
10.03.2024 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-5 HT 2-3 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
12.02.2024 Xinabajul Xinabajul 2-2 HT 1-1 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
02.10.2023 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial 2-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
26.08.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 3-3 HT 0-2 Coban Imperial Coban Imperial GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Coban Imperial
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coban Imperial squeezed past Xinabajul 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Xinabajul at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coban Imperial led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Xinabajul and 2.00 for Coban Imperial.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Coban Imperial?

Xinabajul 1-2 Coban Imperial in the Guatemala - National League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Coban Imperial?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 45%, draw 29%, Coban Imperial 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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23 Jan 2025
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