Okzhetpes 1-2 FC Astana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.18
Draw
18%
4.81
Away
67%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.95
No
46%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
11%
+3.9pp
18%
Draw
18%
+0.2pp
67%
Away Win
71%
-4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Okzhetpes EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Astana EU Bookmakers 75%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -20%
0.36/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.77
-58% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Okzhetpes
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Astana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
15.06.2025 FC Astana FC Astana 5-2 HT 3-2 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
13.04.2025 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZKK
27.09.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 5-2 HT 3-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
14.05.2023 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
26.10.2020 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes 1-5 HT 0-3 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
22.08.2020 FC Astana FC Astana 2-0 HT 1-0 Okzhetpes Okzhetpes KAZP
FAQ Okzhetpes vs FC Astana
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FC Astana edged past Okzhetpes 2-1 away from home in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Astana lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Okzhetpes and 3.00 for FC Astana.

What was the final score of Okzhetpes vs FC Astana?

Okzhetpes 1-2 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Okzhetpes vs FC Astana?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Okzhetpes 15%, draw 18%, FC Astana 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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