Staal Jorpeland 5-2 Sandnes Ulf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.43
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-2.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.9pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandnes Ulf II EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
2.91/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.65
+14% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
375 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Staal Jorpeland
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Sandnes Ulf II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
19.06.2025 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II 3-3 HT 1-1 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
29.09.2024 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II 2-4 HT 1-2 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
12.04.2024 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II NOR4
13.10.2023 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II 6-2 HT 2-2 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
11.04.2023 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 2-1 HT 1-0 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II NOR4
POST-MATCH Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Staal Jorpeland ran out comfortable winners over Sandnes Ulf II 5-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Staal Jorpeland as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Staal Jorpeland had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Staal Jorpeland and 2.40 for Sandnes Ulf II.

What was the final score of Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf II?

Staal Jorpeland 5-2 Sandnes Ulf II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Staal Jorpeland vs Sandnes Ulf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Staal Jorpeland win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Staal Jorpeland 63%, draw 18%, Sandnes Ulf II 19%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Staal Jorpeland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Staal Jorpeland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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