Sandnes Ulf II 2-4 Staal Jorpeland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
22%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
3.94
Over 2.5
75%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.28
No
33%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
11%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
53%
+4.9pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.7pp
25%
Under 2.5
22%
+3.8pp
75%
Over 2.5
78%
-3.8pp
67%
BTTS Yes
74%
-6.7pp
33%
BTTS No
26%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 30%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.01/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/2.82
+25% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
389 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Staal Jorpeland
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 0-0 HT 0-0 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II NOR4
13.10.2023 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II 6-2 HT 2-2 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
11.04.2023 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 2-1 HT 1-0 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II NOR4
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf II vs Staal Jorpeland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Staal Jorpeland beat Sandnes Ulf II 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Sandnes Ulf II carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (67%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sandnes Ulf II and 1.33 for Staal Jorpeland.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf II vs Staal Jorpeland?

Sandnes Ulf II 2-4 Staal Jorpeland in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf II vs Staal Jorpeland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandnes Ulf II win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf II 58%, draw 20%, Staal Jorpeland 23%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandnes Ulf II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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