Hönefoss BK 4-1 Kongsvinger II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.11
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
1.0
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
85%
-22.6pp
22%
Draw
8%
+13.8pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger II EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
4.02/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/3.58
+20% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -8%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
508 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hönefoss BK
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Kongsvinger II
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2022 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 3-2 HT 0-2 Kongsvinger II Kongsvinger II NOR4
27.06.2022 Kongsvinger II Kongsvinger II 1-5 HT 0-1 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hönefoss BK
4-1
AWAY Kongsvinger II
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Kongsvinger II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK swept aside Kongsvinger II 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hönefoss BK had 60% of the ball to Kongsvinger II's 40%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Hönefoss BK and 1.50 for Kongsvinger II.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Kongsvinger II?

Hönefoss BK 4-1 Kongsvinger II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Kongsvinger II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 63%, draw 22%, Kongsvinger II 15%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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