Afyonspor Kulübü 3-3 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.8pp
50%
Away Win
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afyonspor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 61%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afyonspor Kulübü
3-3
AWAY Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Afyonspor Kulübü vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afyonspor Kulübü and Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Afyonspor Kulübü had 44% of the ball to Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor's 56%, shots finished 8-19.

What was the final score of Afyonspor Kulübü vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor?

Afyonspor Kulübü 3-3 Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afyonspor Kulübü vs Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Afyonspor Kulübü 19%, draw 31%, Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor 50%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ayvalıkgücü Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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