Uşak Spor A.Ş. 1-0 Denizli İY Güreller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.97
Over 2.5
40%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uşak Spor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Denizli İY Güreller EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uşak Spor A.Ş.
1-0
AWAY Denizli İY Güreller
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Uşak Spor A.Ş. vs Denizli İY Güreller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uşak Spor A.Ş. nicked a narrow win over Denizli İY Güreller 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uşak Spor A.Ş. as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Uşak Spor A.Ş. had 50% of the ball to Denizli İY Güreller's 50%, shots finished 6-7.

What was the final score of Uşak Spor A.Ş. vs Denizli İY Güreller?

Uşak Spor A.Ş. 1-0 Denizli İY Güreller in the Turkey - 3rd Division 4.Grup on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uşak Spor A.Ş. vs Denizli İY Güreller?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uşak Spor A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Uşak Spor A.Ş. 47%, draw 29%, Denizli İY Güreller 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uşak Spor A.Ş.), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uşak Spor A.Ş.) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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