Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 34%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.11/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.48
+65% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 0-0 HT 0-0 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü T2L-K
22.10.2023 Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 1-1 HT 1-1 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü
1-0
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü edged past Arnavutköy Belediye 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü had 41% of the ball to Arnavutköy Belediye's 59%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü and 0.50 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

What was the final score of Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 1-0 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated a Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü 41%, draw 29%, Arnavutköy Belediye 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Güzide Gebze Spor Kulübü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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